Opinion
What Does The Future Hold For Public Administration?
Published
3 years agoon

By
Tunji Olaopa
What does the future hold for public administration? Or even more specifically, what does the future hold for its study and practice in Africa or in postcolonial Nigeria? These questions are unique when placed within the ambit of future studies and its myriads of prognostications about what the future holds for human systems and practices. But they are also strange and difficult questions by the very fact that they are meant to unravel the future and tap into its possibilities for the understanding of the present. Alan Watt, the English writer and theologian, once remarked that “I have realized that the past and future are real illusions, that they exist in the present, which is what there is and all there is.” The future and all its potentialities are simply not here. And therefore, any prediction about it is fraught with enormous problems. How do we know we have sufficiently understood the elements of the future that speak to the present? However, what gives future studies—or the art of futuring—its solid pedigree is that it takes account of the present circumstances and dynamics to reach out to the future and what it possibly could say to us. In other words, according to Mattie Stepanek, “even though the future seems far away, it is actually happening right now.” Despite the warning of the present, which we ignored, the COVID-19 pandemic hit the entire world right in the face of our collective complacence. The same thing has happened with the climate change and its dangers.
When situated within the postcolonial terrain that makes Africa the most difficult administrative context in the world, the idea of futuring would seem even more vague—a dim horizon that is intangible and yet beckons tantalizingly to us. However, it is really within this context that an acute analysis of the future ought to mean something. What then is the future saying to us? Patrick Dixon, the author of The Future of Almost Everything (2019), says the future has a lot in store for humanity; a lot that will definitely and radically transform the ways we conceive of our world. From what we are able to see already taking place as a result of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, Dixon predicts that “Over the next 20 years, our world will be shaken by a series of seismic events and inventions, overtaking governments, corporations and our personal lives. We are hurtling at astonishing speed into a future that few understand, with massive implications for the future of humanity.”
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From what we know about our world today, a lot of things are wrong—from the destruction of the environment to terrorism, and from global inequalities to the takeover of democracy by nationalism. We have also been confronted with the awesome power of science and technology; of new media and digital technologies that have transformed the ways we think about work, sociality, security, politics, and even development and leadership. For Dixon, to be fatalistic is to imagine that we are doomed to keep going in one direction without an idea of where we are headed. On the contrary, according to him, the challenge is to be futuristic. And being futuristic comes with a good measure of prediction which is not pointless and impossible as some have argued. Rather, what the futuristic predictions demand is “well-reasoned expectations of what…is most likely to happen,” and an active strategy that generate alternative scenario planning to manage the risks involved in long-term trends.
For Patrick Dixon, the future has six faces that spell FUTURE: Fast, Urban, Tribal, Universal, Radical and Ethical. It will be fast with regard to the speed at which the changes will occur, especially within fields like robotics and artificial intelligence. It will be urban because of the implications of the future for urbanization and demography. Its tribal nature will be with regard to future nations and cultures as well as social networks. Its universal nature will unravel with its consequences for globalization. It will be radical in connection with what Dixon calls the “death of politics,” and the rise of radical activism. And finally, its ethical component speaks to emerging notions of spirituality, values and leadership. As is to be expected, these six faces of the future are related and contradictory. Fast and Urban speaks complementarily to each other, the same way Radical and Ethical do. But Universal and Tribal are opposites. Thus, while some prefer to look at the world as Fast, Urban and Universal, a different perspective is Tribal, Radical and Ethical.
Surprisingly, there is no mention of public administration in Dixon’s significant book, even though every dimension of the diagnosis about the world as it is and the world that we are anticipating points at either the failure of the public and private managers or the public leadership and its capacity to adequately anticipate the future. The book is essentially about the capacity of the leadership at the public and the private levels to key into the events of the present as a cue to anticipating and preparing for the future, especially in terms of institutional readiness. Public administration will be key in the ways the world would be able to adapt to the future, and the effects of that adaptability on human well-being. And this will be more so for states in Africa, like Nigeria, that had been struggling with (under)development for decades, and that urgently requires scenario planning and future thinking to transform public administration and institutional capacity to be able to do more for their citizens.
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In prognosticating the future, Dixon and I see similarly. In The Nigerian Civil Service of the Future (2014), I identified a dysfunctional bureau-pathology as the bane of the institutional debilitation that disenabled the public service from backstopping good governance in Nigeria. Bureau-pathology ensures that the civil service is institutionally closed to innovation, and hence forfeits the open-mindedness required to effect meaningful changes through a dynamic relationship with the environment within which it operates. In this sense, public servants achieve a blind conformance which enables them to be predisposed to enforce rules and regulations as ends in themselves, rather than as means to the end of performance and productivity. Where I referenced bureau-pathology as the bane of institutional reform and development, Dixon sees what he calls “institutional blindness”: “When bankers spend too much time with other bankers, the result is soon a banking crisis. When IT people spend too much time with similar IT people, the result can be major system weakness, poor customer design, or vulnerability to cyberattack. When military commanders spend too much time playing war games with their colleagues, the result can be…” Let us also add: when public servants get too involved in their bureaucratic processes and procedures, the consequences are occupational psychosis that gives the impression that the institutional is self-contained when it is not.
Institutional blindness and bureau-pathology are too sides of the same coin. Both are debilitating because they lock an organization into itself in ways that sacrifice open-mindedness for insularity, and undermines organizational innovativeness and creativity. Both prevent and deprive any organization the capacity to reach beyond itself to external source of organizational development and reform that could galvanize institutional transformation and capacity readiness. Organizational development theory is significant because it provides the stages of development that will enable an organization to adapt to present and future circumstances in ways that enhance the strategies of good governance. The sequence of growth and development—birth, adolescence, maturity, institutionalisation, and reformulation—ensures that an organization’s culture engages itself and other external factors in a dynamic manner that enables it to grow beyond its basic structural elements into a mature institution under constant reform and reformulation. Organisation development theory therefore insists that the natural development of organisations must make it possible to identify how such organisations have moved, in sequential order from being a mere structure distinguished by a pattern of relationship among elements within a system, to an institution as a framework of values and behavioural regulation.
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How then can organization development theory in Nigeria engage with the futuring dynamics outlined by Patrick Dixon in The Future of Almost Everything? How, in other words, can we begin to rethink the idea of institutional reform within the futuristic dynamics outlined in Dixon’s book and formulations? How can public administration and the public service system, especially in Nigeria, with its bureau-pathology and institutional blindness respond to the six faces of the future? What do these six faces of the future enable us to calibrate as intelligent policymaking architecture that can transform the governance dynamics and framework in Nigeria? How can the FUTURE be inscribed into the postcolonial administrative context like Nigeria’s? These and many more are the critical questions that my reformer’s mind is forced to ask in engaging with Patrick Dixon and the idea of futuring. And these questions can serve as the basis of many reflections of deeper levels of institutional reform that Nigeria require to be able to make the most of the fourth industrial revolution and the future of good governance and development.
Olaopa is a retired Federal Permanent Secretary, and Professor of Public Administration, National Institute
For Policy and Strategic Studies
(NIPSS), Kuru, Jos
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Opinion
Stellenbosch: Senzeni Na And Decolonizing Secularity In Africa
Published
3 hours agoon
March 11, 2025
By Leo Igwe
In December, I attended a workshop on Decolonizing Secularity in Africa. It was one of my best conferences because it highlighted issues that have worried me over the years. For the first time, I attended an academic conference on religion or secularism in Africa that featured a panel on atheism and humanism in Africa. Organized by Point Sud, this workshop was held at Stellenbosch in South Africa. Interestingly I did not know about Stellenbosch’s colonial history and significance. So I could say with the benefit of hindsight that the choice of Stellenbosch as a venue for this event was adequate. The goal of the workshop was, based on the coloniality of secularity, to interrogate the “liberating force of religion, the secular in ethnic nationalisms, and the ideologies of culturalization, not least in its current revenant, heritagization, in Africa and beyond”. It was great to meet, discuss, and exchange ideas on colonization, decolonization, religion, and secularity with scholars and activists from different parts of the continent and the world. Many issues that emerged at the conference have continued to agitate my mind. First is the so much emphasis on colonization. I have continued to wonder: Can’t we meaningfully discuss African issues without alluding to colonialism? Again, reference is always made to Western colonialism. What about Eastern and other forms? Many parts of America were colonized at one point or the other. Weren’t they? The same with Europe, Asia, and Oceania. But it is only in the case of Africa that there is an overemphasis on Western colonialism. Incidentally, many African scholars have unwittingly joined in explaining Africa through the lens of colonialism, western colonialism.
The fixation on colonialism is not without a reason. I attended an African studies conference some years ago and someone alluded to a comment by a Western scholar, that regarding Africa, before colonialism, there was nothing. There was nothing? I was shocked to hear that comment. Look, that I do not know or nobody knows about a period in history, does not mean that there was nothing. Is it not better to say I do not know than to make such a dimwitted statement? What applies to Africa, applies to other places in the world. There are stages in their histories nobody knows what happened. Or what is known is patchy. That should not be a reason to say that there was nothing.
One issue that engaged attendees was the meaning of ‘decolonizing’. What does it mean to decolonize? Some define decolonization as removing or undoing colonial elements and influences. And if that is the case, what do we remove or undo? And who does that and Why? how do we undo the Western colonial linguistic influence? What about the eastern and other colonial elements? Is it possible or feasible to remove or undo all colonial influences? By the way, is religion or secularity as introduced to Africa decolonized?
Some participants argued that decolonizing secularity implied going back in time before colonialism. So, how far can we go and why? In the process won’t we go back to that time “when there was nothing?” Can’t we decolonize without returning to the past? Can’t we decolonize looking forward and not backward? Is religion or secularity not an embodiment of layers of influences over the years? If we were to peel off these ‘colonial’ elements, what would be left? Some propose a return to the indigenous forms of secularity or religion as the case may be. The question is this: What does indigenous mean? Who defines or determines it? Is the indigenous the same for all? What is considered indigenous to South Africans may not be to Kenyans, Nigerians, or Malians. What is considered indigenous in a part of Nigeria may be a legacy of the colonial influence by another part of Nigeria. So what is indigenous to Africa is not monolithic and regionally applicable.
That leads me to another controversial issue that came up at the workshop, which is, one secularity or multiple secularities. Some of the participants especially those from the Department of Religion, at the University of Cape Town were of the view that there was one secularity, that is the western secularity is manifesting in other climes, in different forms. While other participants from Europe leaned towards the notion of multiple secularities highlighting forms of distinction and differentiation between religion and other social domains across cultures. Although secularism or secularity is Western in origin, what the concept represents manifests in other cultures and societies. Secularities predate Western secularity or manifest and feature in ways that do not fit into or align with Western secularity.
As I noted earlier, there have been colonialisms before Western colonialism. There have been secularities before Western secularity. Although Western colonialism brought the influence of western religion and secularity to bear on various cultures and societies, the colonial encounter does not negate the social differentiation of religion and other domains in these societies. It is only in seeing or articulating secularity in its multiple forms that these situations, dynamics, and intersections could adequately be captured. So, the concept of multiple secularities has enormous explanatory power. It is useful and helpful in highlighting the social distinction of religion and other domains in cultures and societies beyond the West.
For instance, western missionaries introduced christianity and the Christian god to Africa. What we have is one Christianity or Islam manifesting in different forms. Africans have adapted and reinvented the Christian religion over the years, hence the notion of African Christianities. Again while western Christian missionaries introduced Christian religion or religiosity, they did not introduce religion. religiosity, or the idea of god. There are other religiosities apart from and beyond Christianities/Christian religiosities. There are other gods and deities beyond the Christian god/deity. I think the idea of multiple secularities or multiple religiosities has much more descriptive value.
Another issue that came up at the event, not surprisingly so, was apartheid. One of the presenters analyzed the song, Senzeni Na (What have we done?) to buttress his point. I have never heard of the song. I didn’t know its relevance to the anti-apartheid struggle. In the course of the discussions, it was noted how other Africans including Nigerians are not conscious or sensitive to the pains of apartheid. I noticed from the expressions of some South Africans at the meeting that they were not happy with the nonchalant attitudes of Nigerians towards their experience. I believe that black South Africans are right to feel that way. The apartheid was a tragic experience that still hurts blacks in contemporary South Africa. The painful memories won’t quickly go away. Black South Africans should also understand that Nigerians have a different history and experience. They should also not forget that the Nigerian and other African governments contributed a lot to the anti-apartheid struggle. Nigeria supported Nelson Mandela and other heroes and heroines of the struggle.
Many South Africans do not relate to the tragedy of the Rwandan genocide as Rwandans do. They do not relate to the pain and trauma of the Nigerian civil war. In meetings and conferences, they treat these experiences and encounters lightly because these experiences were not a part of their history. As I noted during my conversations with some of the attendees, while I appreciate the pain and trauma of apartheid, Black South Africans must learn to move on because as they say in the Igbo language, Nke chi ka, meaning, the one yet to come, the future one, the one that belongs to tomorrow, is greater. The greatness of South Africa does not lie in the past but in its tomorrow, in its future. It does not mean that we should not refer or draw from the past. We should and we must. But South Africa is not returning to those days when Senzeni Na was sung. The country is forging ahead and moving towards a better and more glorious future.
This song provides a thrust for this forward and onward movement. It highlights the challenges that South Africans face and are facing. But more importantly, this song codifies the pain and suffering of all humans because all oppressed people everywhere; all who suffer persecution within and without South Africa are singing, Senzeni Na.
Igwe, PhD, was a co-convener of Decolonizing Secularity in Africa, Stellenbosch, South Africa, 9–13 December 2024.
Opinion
Commonwealth Day 2025: Together We Can End Witch Hunts And Ritual Attacks
Published
4 hours agoon
March 11, 2025
By Leo Igwe
As we mark Commonwealth Day 2025, the Advocacy for Alleged Witches protests witch hunts and ritual attacks in Commonwealth countries, and the refusal of the Commonwealth to speak out against these abuses. In many parts of Africa, Asia and Oceania witch hunting is not a thing of the past but an ongoing wave of abuses and violations. In Commonwealth countries such as Ghana, Nigeria, Kenya, Papua New Guinea, persecution of alleged witches rages with force and ferocity. In Ghana, witch persecution results in the displacement of accused persons who then flee to some make shift shelters known as “witch camps”. Those who could not flee to these places like Akua Denteh are murdered in cold blood.
Witchcraft accusation is a form of death sentence for the accused and accused people are sometimes extrajudicially killed despite existing legislations in these countries. Witch trials take place in many countries of the Commonwealth. Trial by ordeal and jungle justice are meted out to the accused. Some weeks ago, an elderly woman who had dementia was accused of witchcraft and beaten to death in Nigeria. In Malawi, alleged witches are stoned to death. In Zambia some political opponents suspected of trying to kill the president using ‘witchcraft’ are standing trial at the state court. Alleged witches, mainly women, children and people with disabilities are attacked, banished, lynched, buried alive or tortured to confess to the ‘crime of witchcraft’.
Witch hunting persists because many countries and groups of countries like the Commonwealth have refused to speak out against these atrocities. The Commonwealth should break its silence on witch hunts and ritual attacks in member countries. It should join the UN in condemning these horrific abuses. The Commonwealth should add its voice to this campaign. It should highlight witch persecution and witch hunting during its meetings and summits. It should call for an end to abuses linked to witchcraft beliefs and ritual attacks. The Commonwealth Day should be an opportunity to recommit to ending this menace. It provides a platform to rally all countries against these violations. No nation should be left behind in the quest to make witch hunting history around the globe.
Together we can end witch hunts and ritual attacks in Commonwealth countries.
Igwe, PhD, directs the Advocacy for Alleged Witches.

By Toyin Falola
Our university is now an adult at 20!
About twenty-two years ago, the vision to redefine the frontiers of private education in Nigeria led to the conceptualization of the idea, which birthed a new direction for education. The thoughts and projections of like-minded educators and academic experts led to the establishment of Lead City University (LCU) as a beacon for progressive education in Nigeria. This development came when access to higher education was limited by rigid institutional structures and to federal, state, and a handful of private institutions.
At inception, LCU was envisioned as an academic environment that was expected to balance flexibility with skills and academic excellence. On this note, the university became fully operational in 2005, having scaled through necessary procedures for establishment. Since then, the university has positioned itself as an institution willing to break conventional norms by offering programs that blend theoretical learning with practical application. The goal was clear—to bridge the gap between academia and the real-world demands of the job market, ensuring that students graduated with certificates, competence, and confidence. Hence the word “enterprise graduate”.
Two decades later, Lead City University has become a household name in private tertiary education in Nigeria and earned the trust of parents, guardians, students, and the education community. From its humble beginnings with two campuses around Jericho and Challenge areas of Ibadan, the University has metamorphosed to its current state, reflecting the institution’s journey of ambition, resilience, and a commitment to continuous improvement. To reiterate, the university’s distinct blue, white, and pink colors symbolize the institution’s values for knowledge, human development, creativity and prestige, and excellence. At the same time, the university’s emblem, which depicts a fusion of knowledge, self-reliance, and technological orientation, is not just a design but a representation of LCU’s enduring promise to its students in equipping them with the tools they need to navigate life’s complexities.
In its formative years, Lead City University set itself apart by adopting an academic model that was both innovative and inclusive. Unlike conventional universities that adhered to a one-size-fits-all approach, LCU introduced learning structures that accommodated working professionals, non-traditional students, and young scholars eager for a more practical learning experience. This unique flexibility over time has attracted a diverse student population, making the university a melting pot of ideas and aspirations.
Significantly, and with every sense of humility, it is worth mentioning that the academic offerings at LCU have grown in milestones over the years. What started as a modest selection of undergraduate programs across the two campuses has expanded into a comprehensive curriculum spanning disciplines such as Business Administration, Law, Engineering, Social Sciences, Computer Science, and Mass Communication. More recently, the university reached a significant milestone with the approval and accreditation of its Medical and Health Science programs, including Medicine and Surgery, Pharmacy, and Physiotherapy.
These additions have broadened the school’s academic reach and cemented its credibility as a serious player in Nigeria’s higher education landscape. This has brought much credence to the school, its parent body, and every stakeholder within its system. This is because achieving accreditation for these highly sought-after courses required a high-level strategic investment in infrastructure, faculty recruitment, and curriculum development. The intensity of these has further proven LCU’s unwavering commitment to quality education.
Beyond the classroom, LCU has been at the forefront of promoting an education system that extends beyond academic achievements. It is an apparent recognition that learning should not be confined to lectures and textbooks. To achieve this, the university has integrated entrepreneurship programs, skill acquisition initiatives, and industrial partnerships into its curriculum as a proactive measure for students to withstand today’s competitive job market, where traditional employment opportunities are increasingly fizzling out. It is a welcome development for a 21st-century school, as graduates need more than theoretical knowledge. They need adaptability, innovation, and more practical experience to fit in. It gladdens the heart to know that LCU understands this reality and has taken deliberate steps to ensure its students are equipped with these critical skills.
A defining aspect of the university’s impact over the past two decades has been its emphasis on accessibility. The tradition before was that private universities in Nigeria were often perceived as elitist due to their tuition costs and the social class that enrolled. At one point, there were similar issues with enrollment, as many were not convinced that it was a school their wards could attend.
To mitigate this, LCU has consistently worked to change the narratives by providing scholarships and financial aid to deserving indigent students. These scholarships, awarded based on merit and financial need, remind the institution of its commitment to inclusivity. These opportunities have been life-changing for many students who might have otherwise been unable to afford higher education. By ensuring that education remains within reach for those who need it most, LCU has once again demonstrated its commitment to shaping futures.
Looking at the trajectory and quality of academic delivery obtained in the school, one cannot salute the decision to have a well-grounded faculty. Faculty development has been another cornerstone of LCU’s success. After all, an institution is only as strong as the quality of its educators. Hence, there is a deliberate commitment to recruiting experienced lecturers, researchers, and industry professionals for its academic team. Over the years, the university has built a faculty that blends theoretical expertise with real-world experience. This approach ensures that students are not just taught from textbooks but are mentored by individuals who have made significant contributions in their respective fields. By fostering an environment of mentorship and academic research, the university has maintained high teaching standards, preparing students for professional and educational pursuits.
The physical transformation of Lead City University over the past twenty years is also worth noting. The university, which began with a modest campus, has since expanded into a thriving academic hub, complete with modern lecture halls, state-of-the-art laboratories, well-equipped libraries, and recreational facilities embedded in an architectural design that reflects a blend of tradition and modernity, creating an environment that is both inspiring and conducive to learning. These infrastructural developments are a testament to the university’s long-term vision to make learning conducive in a friendly atmosphere.
However, LCU’s journey has not been without challenges. Like all private institutions, it has had to navigate the complexities of Nigeria’s educational sector, including regulatory policies, economic fluctuations, and the evolving expectations of students and parents. For instance, the unpredictability of the country’s economy has often made financial planning difficult for the institution and its students. Yet, through strategic planning and resilience, LCU has continued to evolve, adapting to changes while maintaining its core mission.
The role of technology in education has also become increasingly significant in recent years, and LCU has recognized the need to integrate digital learning into its academic framework. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted educational systems globally and became a wake-up call for institutions to adopt more technologically driven learning methods. LCU strengthened its digital learning infrastructure, enabling students to continue their education remotely. The university’s investment in e-learning platforms, virtual labs, and online course delivery models reflects its readiness to embrace the future of education.
At one point, the university displayed mastery of digital tools to drive enrollment. This was in the wake of low enrollments, especially as very few citizens of Oyo State see the school as a prospect. During this period, the university had a large number of its students coming from outside the state. In response, the dedicated marketing teams deployed various traditional and digital tools, effectively utilizing social media, newsletters, and email marketing to achieve outstanding results. This is but a display of innovative thinking by a core department in the school.
As Lead City University celebrates its 20th anniversary, it is at a critical juncture that demands an even more significant commitment to innovation, research, and global academic engagement. The next phase of its journey will undoubtedly require a stronger emphasis on technological integration, expanded research initiatives, and deeper collaborations with local and international institutions. The university has already laid a strong foundation, but the challenge is to build upon it, ensuring that the next twenty years bring even more outstanding achievements.
Lead City at 20 is not just a celebration of longevity but a testament to the power of vision, perseverance, and growth; from a promising idea to a respected institution, LCU’s story is one of transformation and impact.
Looking ahead, the university must continue to evolve, keeping pace with global academic trends while staying true to its mission. Whether through the expansion of its research capabilities, increased industry collaborations, or the continued development of its students, LCU’s future is filled with possibilities. The past twenty years have been remarkable, but the next two decades hold even more significant potential.
For students, alums, faculty, and stakeholders, Lead City University is more than just an institution—it is a community, a movement, and a legacy in the making. As the university steps into the future, it does so with the same ambition and resolve that fueled its inception. The journey is far from over; in many ways, it is only just beginning.
. Falola is Professor Emeritus in the Humanities Lead City University.
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